Zeus Note: Cadence #KDNC Azteca operating licence granted

Cadence Minerals has announced that DEV Mineração, its 36.2%-held Amapá iron ore project company in Brazil, has received the Operating Licence for the Azteca processing plant from the Amapá State Environmental Secretariat. This completes the Preliminary, Installation and Operating Licence sequence for Azteca, part of the larger Amapá project. Production is starting at a reduced rate, and the licence satisfies the final condition for the US$1.15m working-capital tranche of the existing prepayment offtake facility. DEV expects full-rate operation about two weeks after those funds arrive and still aims to make a first shipment of about 4548kt of 65% iron concentrate before the end of 2026.

Zeus View: The granting of the operating licence is a key de-risking milestone for Azteca. With every licence in place and funding released, the investment case moves from permitting to execution. The near-term catalysts are now operational: the working-capital drawdown, full-rate production, assay results confirming product grade, and the first shipment before year-end. The main risks remain over timing. The year-end shipment target relies on the drawdown, the contractors mobilising, and haulage over a bridge that is still being refurbished, so we expect ramp-up from early 2027. Above all else, Azteca matters as a self-funding route to the much larger Amapá DR project, which drives most of the value. We do not instigate forecasts today as the cash raised will be used for the Feasibility Study – Azteca just removes an aspect of dilution for Cadence shareholders. However, we keep our fair value unchanged today at 14.6p; Amapá is the eventual prize.

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